Hey everybody! Just poppin' our heads in real quick to let you know about the week of weather ahead... and once again, we're not talking about anything, whether it be heat or storms, that will blow our socks off. Let's take a look below:
You can pretty clearly see the WPC forecast favoring a marginal risk for flash flooding Today, Tuesday and Wednesday. This includes all of the front range, and west into the foothills and continental divide.
I've dropped in the HRRR projection for Monday and Tuesday afternoon rain coverage. As of Monday morning, it looks like Tuesday's wave will have a bit more coverage and intensity.
All that being said, isolated or not, if you do manage to get under one of these storms, expect some rounds of heavy rainfall and plenty of lightning.
Because we'll be in this monsoonal flow, expect temps to be toasty, but not a lasting scorcher like we've seen the last few years– and that continues the theme for 2025: really no major heatwaves... and for now, that doesn't look to change. Below are the potential highs according to the EURO:
Definitely hot some day, but some pretty notable relief on either end of the warmups.
The reason for the lack of brutal summer heat? Well, the large scale setup just hasn't favored it. Below is what most of the last 30-45 days have featured: increased troughing in the Eastern Pacific/West coast of the US. That pattern along with a strong Ohio Valley ridge have kept us out of the bullseye of heat, and more locked into a monsoonal flow pattern.
While this wet pattern has generally favored the Front Range, we've also seen a slowing of the expansion of drought over the Western Slope. Don't get us wrong: it's still not great out west, BUT, we haven't seen much change in the wrong direction out there.
If there is SOME silver lining here, the lack of our summer high pressure overhead and continued monsoon flow have likely SLOWED progression of the wildfires that have sparked over Western Colorado. We could have seen a much different scenario if that high had been parked overhead the last month and a half. This also speaks to the good moisture the western slope saw over the winter as well.
Anyways – probably rambled a bit too much on this one. Hope y'all have a good week and we'll let you know if any updates need to be made for the storms the next few days. Hopefully everyone gets some beneficial moisture.
Luke